Monday Night Football: Bears vs. Seahawks Picks and Preview

Matchup Preview

Seattle hosts Chicago at Lumen Field as the defending Super Bowl champion, but this version of the Seahawks is 4-3 and 2-3-2 against the spread. The Bears arrive 5-2 straight up and 5-2 ATS, with Caleb Williams healthy and Chicago 2-0 since his return. That makes Chicago the better ATS team, and you're getting it as the road underdog.

Both sides are banged up. Seattle loses starting left tackle Charles Cross (high ankle) and WR/KR Rashid Shaheed (knee), and three of five offensive line spots change from last week. Chicago is without RB Kyle Monangai for a fourth straight game. The Bears averaged 196.3 rushing yards per game in the first four weeks and 98.3 without him.

The matchup to watch is Chicago's pass rush against Seattle's reshuffled line. Josh Jones starts at left tackle after leaving the Kansas City game with a hamstring issue. Quenton Nelson is learning a new scheme, and Grey Zabel moves to right guard. Sam Darnold has thrown an interception in five straight games, so that pressure gives the Bears a clear path to extra possessions.

Weather won't change anything. Expect about 50°F, a 1% chance of rain and winds near 2 mph, so you can handicap this one on the matchups alone.

The Picks

Bears +3.5 (-120) at Bovada
Three of five books sit at +3, so the extra half point takes you through the key number of 3. Lucky Rebel deals the same +3.5 (-120), and the -120 price is worth paying for that protection. Chicago is 5-2 ATS, and Seattle's three losses came by a combined 8 points, so expect a one-score game.

Under 46.5 (-108) at BetOnline
Seattle's defense just held Kansas City to 3 points and zero red-zone trips. Chicago's run game has lost half its production without Monangai, and Seattle's offense is down Shaheed and its starting left tackle. The total has already dropped from 47, and -108 is the best Under price on the board.

Sam Darnold Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetOnline
A backup left tackle and two new faces on the interior make it hard for Darnold to hold the ball against Chicago's rush. Shaheed is out, so Seattle leans harder on Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Cooper Kupp. BetOnline has the highest Under number at 238.5, a point above Bovada's 237.5.

Best Bet

Take Bears +3.5 (-120) at Bovada, because the hook covers a 3-point Seattle win against a team starting a patched-up offensive line.