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NFL Week 3 Betting Picks

Underdogs ruled once again in Week 2 of the NFL season, going 9-7 ATS and winning seven games outright. Can favorites rebound in Week 3? Here’s a look at the games sporting the biggest point spreads this weekend.

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Game Line: Indianapolis -7 | OU 46

Coming off their first back-to-back losses with Andrew Luck at the helm, the 0-2 Colts head to Jacksonville on Sunday as 7-point road favorites in NFL online betting.

It has been a tale of two teams for the Colts thus far in 2014. Indy spotted Denver a 24-point lead in Week 1 before staging a comeback that came up short in a 31-24 loss. Against Philadelphia in Week 2 the Colts fumbled away a double-digit halftime lead, losing 30-27 on a field goal with no time on the clock.

Indy will have a chance to address their consistency issues against a winless Jaguars team that produced just 148 total yards in a brutal 41-10 loss to Washington in Week 2.

With just one win SU at home in their last 10, 2-7-1 ATS, including a 37-3 pummeling by the Colts in Week 4 last season, there are no indications that Jacksonville are a threat against Indianapolis on Sunday, SU or ATS.

Free Pick: Take Indianapolis and give the points. Indianapolis 31-7

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles

Game Line: Philadelphia -7 | OU 50

The Eagles continued the strong play on the road that was the hallmark of their 2013 season, with quarterback Nick Foles throwing for 331 yards to lead a second-half comeback in Philadelphia’s 30-27 win over Indianapolis in Week 2. The win moved Philly to 2-0 on the season and 9-1 SU in their last 10 regular season games.

With QB Robert Griffin III injured yet again, Kirk Cousins was handed the ball and looked like a bona fide starter in Washington’s 41-10 shellacking of Jacksonville in Week 2.

But with wide receiver DeSean Jackson also going down with injury and his status unclear for Week 3, it is too much to ask of the Skins, who are 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10, to reward bettors against a potent Philadelphia squad that is 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven against DC.

Free Pick: Take Philadelphia and give the points. Philadelphia 35-17

Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals

Game Line: Cincinnati -7 | OU 43.5

The Cincinnati Bengals are off to a 2-0 start SU and ATS on the strength of QB Andy Dalton’s 553 total passing yards and a defense that has yielded just 13 points per game.

Cincy will be looking to extend their regular season home winning streak to 10, SU and ATS, against a Titans squad that has played well on the road, 4-2 SU in their last six and 6-2-1 in their last nine away from LP Field.

The 1-1 Titans have also enjoyed historical success against the Bengals, 6-1 SU in their last seven visits, and is a team that has thrived on the UNDER, 6-3 SU in their last nine games that finished UNDER.

If Tennessee can keep the game low-scoring, they have a solid chance to cover, but it will be the Bengals’ game to lose SU.

Free Pick: Take Tennessee and the points. Cincinnati 20-16

Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints

Game Line: New Orleans -9.5 | OU 51

The New Orleans Saints’ shocking 0-2 start SU and ATS has been devastating for bettors. While the Saints sit among the early leaders in team offense, they are also perilously close to the basement in several team defense statistical categories; a marked departure from 2013, when they surrendered the fourth-fewest total yards and points against in the NFL.

But with a return to the friendly confines of the Superdome, where the Saints were 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS last season, while surrendering over 17 points just once, New Orleans should get back on track against a 1-1 Vikings squad that wilted against elite opposition last Sunday, losing 30-7 to New England as 3-point home underdogs, after dominating the depleted St. Louis Rams in Week 1.

Free Pick: Take New Orleans and give the points. New Orleans 33-16

Oakland Raiders @ New England Patriots

Game Line: New England -14.5 | OU 47

The 1-1 Patriots return to Gillette Stadium after opening the season on the road with mixed results. After blowing a 10-point halftime lead in a 33-20 loss to Miami in Week 1, the Pats dominated a Vikings team reeling from the temporary loss of RB Adrian Peterson, with a 30-7 win in Week 2.

While the Patriots have been outstanding at home, 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine regular season home games, they have produced mixed results in recent home openers, 8-1 SU and 4-5 ATS in their last nine, and are 0-3 ATS in their last three games as double-digit favorites

While the 0-2 Raiders, who sit dead last in Super Bowl odds at 500/1, have been a dismal road team, 1-12 SU in their last 13 away games, they have rewarded bettors with a 7-3 record ATS in their last 10 on the road. Oakland have also risen to the occasion as double-digit underdogs, going 3-0 ATS in 2013, including a 28-23 win in Houston as 10.5-point road dogs.

Free Pick: Take Oakland and the points. New England 28-17

Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks

Game Line: Seattle -5 | OU 48.5

The 1-1 Seahawks welcome the Broncos to town in a much anticipated rematch of Super Bowl XLVIII.

Seattle were shocked by a much improved Chargers squad in Week 2, losing 30-21 as 4.5-point road favorites. But while Seattle have been a middling road team, 4-3 SU and ATS in their last seven, they have been beasts at home, 18-1 SU in their last 19 at home.

Sunday’s game is the first since 2012 in which the Broncos are pegged as underdogs. While the Broncos have jumped out to a 2-0 start on the season, they have not dominated the way they did last season, failing to cover as favorites in home wins over Indianapolis and Kansas City, and 3-5 ATS in their last eight including three postseason games.

While Denver has a score to settle against the Seahawks, their tendency to let opponents back into games after establishing early leads will not be forgiven against the Super Bowl champions.

Free Pick: Take Seattle and give the points. Seattle 30-20